Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000796 0.000908 0.001027 0.001162 0.001311 0.001469 0.001649
2025-01-26 0.000629 0.000787 0.000966 0.001183 0.001435 0.001719 0.002060
2025-02-02 0.000542 0.000723 0.000936 0.001205 0.001530 0.001907 0.002375
2025-02-09 0.000458 0.000647 0.000880 0.001185 0.001567 0.002023 0.002604
2025-02-16 0.000389 0.000581 0.000827 0.001160 0.001588 0.002113 0.002797
2025-02-23 0.000348 0.000546 0.000809 0.001173 0.001655 0.002258 0.003057
2025-03-02 0.000313 0.000514 0.000789 0.001182 0.001713 0.002391 0.003305
2025-03-09 0.000269 0.000464 0.000741 0.001148 0.001710 0.002442 0.003447
2025-03-16 0.000231 0.000419 0.000696 0.001113 0.001703 0.002486 0.003577
2025-03-23 0.000207 0.000394 0.000676 0.001111 0.001739 0.002585 0.003781
2025-03-30 0.000187 0.000371 0.000658 0.001111 0.001776 0.002686 0.003988
2025-04-06 0.000167 0.000347 0.000635 0.001101 0.001798 0.002766 0.004167
2025-04-13 0.000146 0.000320 0.000607 0.001082 0.001807 0.002827 0.004324
2025-04-20 0.000137 0.000312 0.000608 0.001107 0.001880 0.002982 0.004613
2025-04-27 0.000127 0.000302 0.000605 0.001126 0.001945 0.003125 0.004889
2025-05-04 0.000113 0.000280 0.000581 0.001108 0.001952 0.003185 0.005047
2025-05-11 0.000098 0.000258 0.000553 0.001084 0.001947 0.003226 0.005179
2025-05-18 0.000091 0.000249 0.000549 0.001097 0.002001 0.003353 0.005436
2025-05-25 0.000084 0.000239 0.000542 0.001105 0.002047 0.003471 0.005682
2025-06-01 0.000072 0.000218 0.000512 0.001072 0.002026 0.003486 0.005776
2025-06-08 0.000062 0.000198 0.000483 0.001040 0.002002 0.003495 0.005861
2025-06-15 0.000056 0.000188 0.000473 0.001038 0.002029 0.003582 0.006063
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000179 0.000463 0.001038 0.002059 0.003674 0.006274